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Learning path · Economy

The jobs report

The monthly Employment Situation report from BLS: two surveys, what each one measures, and why the numbers get revised.

4 short lessons, about 3 minutes. Every fact links to its source.

Lesson 1 of 4

What the jobs report is

The Employment Situation, usually called the jobs report, is a monthly release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It usually comes out on a Friday early in the month, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern. Source 1 Source 2

It combines two separate surveys, one of households and one of employers. They measure different things, so their numbers don't always move together. Source 3

Lesson 2 of 4

The household survey and the unemployment rate

The household survey, the Current Population Survey, is run by the Census Bureau for BLS. It covers about 60,000 households a month and asks about each person's activity in the week that includes the 12th. Source 4

It produces the unemployment rate and the labor force participation rate. Source 4 Source 5

To count as unemployed, a person must have no job, have actively looked for work in the past four weeks, and be available to work. People on temporary layoff waiting to be recalled count as unemployed without searching. Source 4

The unemployment rate is the unemployed as a share of the labor force: everyone working plus everyone unemployed. Source 5

It counts people, not jobs, so someone with two jobs counts once. It also includes the self-employed. Source 3

Lesson 3 of 4

The establishment survey and payroll jobs

The establishment survey, Current Employment Statistics, covers about 119,000 businesses and government agencies at about 622,000 worksites. Source 6

It produces nonfarm payrolls, the headline jobs number, along with hours and earnings by industry. Source 1 Source 6

It counts jobs, not people, so someone with two jobs counts twice, and it leaves out the self-employed. Source 3

Lesson 4 of 4

Revisions

A month's payroll number is a first estimate. The next two releases revise it as more employers report and seasonal factors are recalculated, sometimes by tens of thousands of jobs. Source 1

Once a year, BLS re-anchors the payroll series to near-complete counts from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages. That benchmark revision is published with the January report, in February. Source 7

Snoki's Macro Desk reports the revisions along with each new number.

Check yourself

Which survey produces the unemployment rate?

Terms in this path

Sources

  1. Bureau of Labor Statistics: The Employment Situation news release (opens in a new tab)
  2. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Schedule of selected releases (opens in a new tab)
  3. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Monthly Employment Situation report: quick guide to methods and measurement issues (opens in a new tab)
  4. Bureau of Labor Statistics: How the government measures unemployment (opens in a new tab)
  5. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Current Population Survey: concepts and definitions (opens in a new tab)
  6. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Current Employment Statistics overview (opens in a new tab)
  7. Bureau of Labor Statistics: CES national benchmark article (opens in a new tab)

This guide explains how filings and data releases work. It isn't investment advice, and it never tells you to buy, sell or hold anything. Rules change: the linked sources are the final word.

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